My new campsite map website

Please visit my new campsite listing site ukcampingmap.co.uk

Monday, July 28, 2008

Edge #252 - Hyperpolitics (American Style) By Mark Pesce

Edge 252 - July 29, 2008

http://www.edge.org

(4,335 words)

This online EDGE edition, with large graphic images, is available at:
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge252.html

---------------------------------------------------- 
EDGE FEATURE
----------------------------------------------------

"The power redistributions of the 21st century have dealt representative democracies out. Representative democracies are a poor fit to the challenges ahead, and 'rebooting' them is not enough. The future looks nothing like democracy, because democracy, which sought to empower the individual, is being obsolesced by a social order which hyperempowers him."

HYPERPOLITICS (AMERICAN STYLE)
A Talk By Mark Pesce

Introduction

In his well-received talk at this year's Personal Democracy Forum (organized by Andrew Rasiej and Micah Sifry), "digital ethnologist" Mark Pesce makes the point that "we have a drive to connect and socialize: this drive has now been accelerated and amplified as comprehensively as the steam engine amplified human strength two hundred and fifty years ago. Just as the steam engine initiated the transformation of the natural landscape into man-made artifice, the 'hyperconnectivity' engendered by these new toys is transforming the human landscape of social relations.This time around, fifty thousand years of cultural development will collapse into about twenty.

In presenting his ideas on "the human network" Pesce references the work of archeologist Colin Renfrew, that "we may have had great hardware, but it took a long, long time for humans to develop software which made full use of it"; and Jared Diamond's ideas in Guns, Germs, and Steel, that "where sharing had been a local and generational project for fifty thousand years, it suddenly became a geographical project across nearly half the diameter of the planet".

In the 21st century, it's time to "Fasten your seatbelts and prepare for a rapid descent into the Bellum omnia contra omnes, Thomas Hobbes' "war of all against all." A hyperconnected polity—whether composed of a hundred individuals or a hundred thousand—has resources at its disposal which exponentially amplify its capabilities. Hyperconnectivity begets hypermimesis begets hyperempowerment. After the arms race comes the war."

To understand this new kind of mob rule, it's necessary to realize that "Sharing is the threat. Not just a threat. It is the whole of the thing. A photo taken on a mobile now becomes instantaneously and pervasively visible on Flickr or other sharing websites. This act of sharing voids "any pretensions to control, or limitation, or the exercise of power".

Pesce concludes that "the power redistributions of the 21st century have dealt representative democracies out. Representative democracies are a poor fit to the challenges ahead, and 'rebooting' them is not enough. The future looks nothing like democracy, because democracy, which sought to empower the individual, is being obsolesced by a social order which hyperempowers him."

Read on.

—JB

MARK PESCE is an expert in social media, best known for his work blending VR with the Web to create VRML, the distant ancestor of Second Life. Pesce is an author, teacher, inventor, and well-known media personality in Australia. For the last four years has practiced "digital ethnology," studying the behavioral, cultural and political changes wrought by the new technologies of sharing and communication.

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge252.html#pesce

----------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------- 
ARTICLE OF NOTE
---------------------------------------------------- 

CHRONICLE OF HIGHER EDUCATION
THE CHRONICLE REVIEW
August 1, 2008

THE SCIENCE OF SATIRE
Cognition studies clash with 'New Yorker' rationale

By Mahzarin R. Banaji

On the morning of July 14, the Internet was clogged with discussions of the latest New Yorker cover depicting a Muslim Barack Obama and a terrorist Michelle Obama in fist-bumping celebration before a fireplace in which lies a burning American flag, while above it hangs a portrait of Osama bin Laden...

...It is not unreasonable, given the inquiring minds that read The New Yorker, to expect that an obvious caricature would be viewed as such. In fact, our conscious minds can, in theory, accomplish such a feat. But that doesn't mean that the manifest association (Obama=Osama lover) doesn't do its share of the work. To some part of the cognitive apparatus, that association is for real. Once made, it has a life of its own because of a simple rule of much ordinary thinking: Seeing is believing. Based on the research of my colleague, the psychologistDaniel Gilbert, on mental systems, one might say that the mind first believes, and only if it is relaxing in an Adirondack chair doing nothing better, does it question and refute. There is a power to all things we see and hear — exactly as they are presented to us.

For decades, psychologists have described the "sleeper effect" — the idea that information, even information we might reject at first blush, ends up persuading us, contrary to our intention, over time. That often occurs when the content of the message (Obama=Islamist) and the source providing the message (The New Yorker trying to be cute) have split off in our minds. When satire isn't done right, as in the case of the Obama cover, the intended parody easily splits off from the actual and more blatant association. The latter then has the power to persuade over the long haul, when conscious cognition isn't up to policing it. Communicators of mass media should be alert to that, so that decisions about particular portrayals are based on knowledge of their full impact, and the justification for the supposedly sophisticated cognitive function they serve offered in light of such basic knowledge. ...

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge252.html#mb

----------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------- 
This online EDGE edition, with large graphic images, is available at:
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge252.html
----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------
Edge Foundation, Inc. is a nonprofit private operating foundation under 
Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code.
---------------------------------------------------- 
EDGE Newsbytes: http://www.edge.org/newsbytes.html
---------------------------------------------------- 
EDGE

John Brockman, Editor and Publisher 
Russell Weinberger, Associate Publisher 
Karla Taylor, Editorial Assistant

Copyright (c) 2008 by EDGE Foundation, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Published by EDGE Foundation, Inc.,
5 East 59th Street, New York, NY 10022
----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------


---
You are currently subscribed to edge_editions as: wheresrhys@googlemail.com

To unsubscribe send a blank email to leave-2998036-17333020.06691da9c6d471dcdf1278a10377548a@sand.lyris.net
Or, you can use the web form at the following URL: http://www.edge.org/subscribe.html

Monday, July 21, 2008

Edge #251 Nathan Myhrvold's Iceland and Greenland Panoramas

Edge 251 - July 21, 2008

http://www.edge.org

(7,170 words)

This online EDGE edition, with large graphic images, is available at:
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge251.html

---------------------------------------------------- 
THE THIRD CULTURE
----------------------------------------------------

Imagine telling Ansel wait for new algorithms, so your pictures can improve. It's a very different world today. ...

PANORAMAS AND PHOTO TECHNOLOGY FROM ICELAND AND GREENLAND Photo Essay By Nathan Myhrvold

The previous messages about my Iceland/Greenland trip were about conventional pictures. This feature contains some panoramic shots that are created by stitching together multiple frames into one picture. These were mostly taken during my recent trip to Iceland and Greenland.

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge251.html#myhrvold

----------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------- 
THE REALITY CLUB

ON "IS GOOGLE MAKING US STUPID?" By Nicholas Carr

W.DANIEL HILLIS

                    -----

BRITANNICA FORUM This is Your Brain on the Internet

Clay Shirky, Nicholas Carr, Larry Sanger, Matthew Battles, Clay Shirky

                    -----

Why Abundance is Good: A Reply to Nick Carr 
Clay Shirky 

... As Carr notes, "we may well be reading more today than we did in the 1970s or 1980s, when television was our medium of choice." Well, yes. But because the return of reading has not brought about the return of the cultural icons we'd been emptily praising all these years, the enormity of the historical shift away from literary culture is now becoming clear. And this, I think, is the real anxiety behind the essay: having lost its actual centrality some time ago, the literary world is now losing its normative hold on culture as well. The threat isn't that people will stop reading War and Peace. That day is long since past. The threat is that people will stop genuflecting to the idea of reading War and Peace. ...
...

                    ----- 

Why Skepticism is Good: My Reply to Clay Shirky 
Nicholas Carr 

It's telling that Shirky uses gauzily religious terms to describe the Internet—"our garden of ethereal delights"—as what he's expressing here is not reason but faith. I hope he's right, but I think that skepticism is always the proper response to techno-utopianism. ...

                     -----

A Defense of Tolstoy & the Individual Thinker: A Reply to Clay Shirky
Larry Sanger 

In Clay's view, it seems, the new speed and deeply social nature of intellectual discourse means that, soon, the only relevant discourse will occur in blog- or Twitter-sized chunks. Is this the hip "upstart literature," proudly "diverse, contemporary, and vulgar," that is now "the new high culture"? 

If so, God help us. ...  
               
                     ----- 

Yes, the Internet Will Change Us (But We Can Handle It) 
Matthew Battles 

Nick Carr's Atlantic essay has also prompted a discussion over at publisher John Brockman's blog The Edge. Brockman's authors include computer science visionaries, evolutionary biologists, and cognitive scientists, and Carr's concerns about the cognitive effects of the Internet are very much their cup of tea. ...

                      -----

Why Abundance Should Breed Optimism: A Second Reply to Nick Carr 
Clay Shirky 

...Carr calls me an optimist, which is true. Here's why: Every past technology I know of that has increased the number of producers and consumers of written material, from the alphabet and papyrus to the telegraph and the paperback, has been good for humanity. 

Carr argues that our period of abundance is different. The worries are numerous: the increased volume and availability of writing is leading not to wisdom but to triviality and distractions. The young are abandoning the classical in favor of the vulgar. Venerable institutions are under possibly crushing new pressures. These complaints are not just familiar, they are accurate. However, they also have an inevitable feel about them, having been made at the beginning of every such expansion, from the printing press to the comic book to the act of writing itself. ...

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge251.html#rc
----------------------------------------------------

W. DANIEL HILLIS: 

For those of you who have not been following the action on the ENCYCLOPEDIA BRITANNICA BLOG, here is the latest: Clay Shirky dissed Tolstoy and Nicholas Carr zinged back with a smackdown about Clay's "highbrow form of philistinism". Ouch.

Clay Shirky is not just questioning Tolstoy, he is questioning the culture of literature. He asks, What's so great about WAR AND PEACE? Maybe it does have themes of power, fate, and personal responsibility, but it is really any more enriching than, say, a season of THE WIRE? And Shirky is not alone in his blasphemy. Back on the EDGE, George Dyson is speculates, "Perhaps books will end up back where they started, locked away in monasteries (or the depths of Google) and read by a select few". For a readership of bibliophiles, this is treason. ...

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge251.html#rc
----------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------- 
IN THE NEWS
---------------------------------------------------- 
THE NEW YORK TIMES
Costly Toys, Or A New Era For Drivers
By Joe Nocera

"In and of itself," said Elon Musk, "a $100,000 sports car is not going to change the world."

Mr. Musk is a 37-year-old technology entrepreneur who became extremely wealthy when eBay bought PayPal, which he had co-founded. A lanky South African, he is using that wealth to finance two quixotic efforts. The first is SpaceX, a company he hopes will one day make it possible to colonize Mars. (I kid you not.)...

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge251.html#nyt2
---------------------------------------------------- 

THE NEW YORK TIMES
Let's Get Rid of Darwinism 
By Olivia Judson 

...But his giantism has had an odd and problematic consequence. It's a tendency for everyone to refer back to him. "Why Darwin was wrong about X"; "Was Darwin wrong about Y?"; "What Darwin didn't know about Z" — these are common headlines in newspapers and magazines, in both the biological and the general literature. Then there are the words: Darwinism (sometimes used with the prefix "neo"), Darwinist (ditto), Darwinian. 

Why is this a problem? Because it's all grossly misleading. It suggests that Darwin was the beginning and the end, the alpha and omega, of evolutionary biology, and that the subject hasn't changed much in the 149 years since the publication of the "Origin."... 

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge251.html#nyt

---------------------------------------------------- 

NPR ON THE MEDIA
Search and Destroy

The ability to search through massive amounts of data, Google-style, is having far-reaching effects. And, according to Wired Magazine's Chris Anderson, one of the most significant casualties may be the venerable scientific method. He explains why in the age of the petabyte, scientific testing is forever changed and why the numbers now speak for themselves.

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge251.html#npr

---------------------------------------------------- 
THE TELEGRAPH
Amazon Tribe Has No Words For Different Numbers 
By Roger Highfield, Science Editor 

... The study, which appeared in the journal Cognition, offers evidence that number words are a concept invented by human cultures as they are needed, and not an inherent part of language, said Prof Gibson, who did the study with Michael Frank, Dr Evelina Fedorenko, and Prof Daniel Everett, of Illinois State University. 

The work builds on a study published in 2005 by Prof Everett, who lived with the tribe for much of his life between 1977 and 2007, which found that the Pirahã had words to express the quantities "one," "two," and "many." ... 

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge251.html#telegraph

---------------------------------------------------- 

AXESS 
The Return of Religion By Roger Scruton

... Richard Dawkins is the most influential living example of this tradition, and his message, echoed by Dan Dennett, Sam Harris and Christopher Hitchens, sounds as loud and strident in the media today as the message of Luther in the reformed churches of Germany. The violence of the diatribes uttered by these evangelical atheists is indeed remarkable. After all, the Enlightenment happened three centuries ago; the arguments of Hume, Kant and Voltaire have been absorbed by every educated person. What more is to be said? And if you must say it, why say it so stridently?... 

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge251.html#axess

----------------------------------------------------
---------------------------------------------------- 
This online EDGE edition, with large graphic images, is available at:
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge251.html
----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------
Edge Foundation, Inc. is a nonprofit private operating foundation under 
Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code.
---------------------------------------------------- 
EDGE Newsbytes: http://www.edge.org/newsbytes.html
---------------------------------------------------- 
EDGE

John Brockman, Editor and Publisher 
Russell Weinberger, Associate Publisher 
Karla Taylor, Editorial Assistant

Copyright (c) 2008 by EDGE Foundation, Inc. All Rights Reserved.

Published by EDGE Foundation, Inc.,
5 East 59th Street, New York, NY 10022
----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------


---
You are currently subscribed to edge_editions as: wheresrhys@googlemail.com

To unsubscribe send a blank email to leave-2986037-17333020.06691da9c6d471dcdf1278a10377548a@sand.lyris.net
Or, you can use the web form at the following URL: http://www.edge.org/subscribe.html

Tuesday, July 15, 2008

Edge 250: "Engineers' Dreams" by George Dyson; "The Next Renaissance" by Douglas Rushkoff; Reality Club: "Is Google Making Us Stupid?"

Edge 250 - July 15, 2008

http://www.edge.org

(9,670 words)

This online EDGE edition is available at:
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge250.html

----------------------------------------------------
THE THIRD CULTURE
----------------------------------------------------

Only one third of a search engine is devoted to fulfilling search requests. The other two thirds are divided between crawling (sending a host of single-minded digital organisms out to gather information) and indexing (building data structures from the results). Ed's job was to balance the resulting loads.

When Ed examined the traffic, he realized that Google was doing more than mapping the digital universe. Google doesn't merely link or point to data. It moves data around. Data that are associated frequently by search requests are locally replicated—establishing physical proximity, in the real universe, that is manifested computationally as proximity in time. Google was more than a map. Google was becoming something else. ...

ENGINEERS' DREAMS
By George Dyson
 
Introduction by Stewart Brand

How does one come to a new understanding? The standard essay or paper makes a discursive argument, decorated with analogies, to persuade the reader to arrive at the new insight.

The same thing can be accomplished—perhaps more agreeably, perhaps more persuasively—with a piece of fiction that shows what would drive a character to come to the new understanding. Tell us a story!

This George Dyson gem couldn't find a publisher in a fiction venue because it's too technical, and technical publications (including Wired) won't run it because it's fiction. Shame on them. Edge to the rescue.
—SBB

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge250.html#dyson

----------------------------------------------------

THE NEXT RENAISSANCE
A Talk By Douglas Rushkoff

Computers and networks finally offer us the ability to write. And we do write with them. Everyone is a blogger, now. Citizen bloggers and YouTubers who believe we have now embraced a new "personal" democracy. Personal, because we can sit safely at home with our laptops and type our way to freedom.

But writing is not the capability being offered us by these tools at all. The capability is programming—which almost none of us really know how to do. We simply use the programs that have been made for us, and enter our blog text in the appropriate box on the screen. Nothing against the strides made by citizen bloggers and journalists, but big deal. Let them eat blog.

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge250.html#rushkoff

----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------
THE REALITY CLUB

ON "IS GOOGLE MAKING US STUPID?" By Nicholas Carr

W. Daniel Hillis, Kevin Kelly, Larry Sanger, George Dyson, Jaron Lanier, Douglas Rushkoff

----------------------------------------------------

The July/August issue of Atlantic Monthly features a cover story by Nicholas Carr: "Is Google Making Us Stupid: What The Internet is doing to Our Brains".  Carr is author of the recently published The Big Switch: Rewiring the world, from Edison to Google and a blogger: Rough Type.  He is also an Edge contributor.

Danny Hillis disagrees with his argument. Here is Hillis's comment which is hopefully the beginning of an interesting Edge Reality Club discussion. —JB

 W. DANIEL HILLIS: We evolved in a world where our survival depended on an intimate knowledge of our surroundings. This is still true, but our surroundings have grown. We are now trying to comprehend the global village with minds that were designed to handle a patch of savanna and a close circle of friends. Our problem is not so much that we are stupider, but rather that the world is demanding that we become smarter. Forced to be broad, we sacrifice depth. We skim, we summarize, we skip the fine print and, all too often, we miss the fine point. We know we are drowning, but we do what we can to stay afloat.  ...

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge250.html#rc

----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------
IN THE NEWS
----------------------------------------------------
THE GUARDIAN
From Obama to Cameron, why do so many politicians want a piece of Richard Thaler?
By Aditya Chakrabortty

What is the big idea of Richard Thaler, the economist quoted by David Cameron and Barack Obama? It comes down to this: you're not as smart as you think. Humans, he believes, are less rational and more influenced by peer pressure and suggestion than governments and economists reckon. ...

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge250.html#guardian

----------------------------------------------------
THE NEW YORKER
Surfing the Universe
By Benjamin Wallace-Wells

ANNALS OF SCIENCE about physicist Garrett Lisi's "An Exceptionally Simple Theory of Everything." Writer describes Lisi giving a talk at a conference in Morelia, Mexico in June of 2007. The conference was attended by the top researchers in a field called loop quantum gravity, which has emerged as a leading challenger to string theory. ... 

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge250.html#newyorker

----------------------------------------------------
THE TIMES
Why Barack Obama and David Cameron are keen to 'nudge you'
By Carol Lewis

Richard Thaler, professor of economics and behavioural science at Chicago Graduate School of Business, talks about his new book and why nudging has caught the imagination of top politicians.

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge250.html#times

----------------------------------------------------
THE BUSINESS TIMES (SINGAPORE)
Psychology's Ambassador to Economics

The father of behavioural economics Daniel Kahneman talks to VIKRAM KHANNA about cognitive illusions, investor irrationality and measures of well-being

...Many mainstream economists still view behavioural economics with a mixture of curiosity and suspicion, but they are increasingly coming around, because some of its findings are too compelling to ignore. 

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge250.html#businesstimes

----------------------------------------------------
THE WASHINGTON POST
Jason Calacanis' First New Email Post
By Nik Cubrilovic
TechCrunch.com

Jason Calacanis announced on Friday that he was retiring from blogging. There was a very mixed reaction to the news, with most believing it to be a publicity stunt. Jason said in his farewell post that instead of blogging, he would instead be posting to a mailing list made up of his followers, capped at 750 subscribers. That subscriber limit was reached very quickly, and today Jason sent out his first new 'post' to that mailing list, which we have included below.

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge250.html#wapo

----------------------------------------------------
NEW SCIENTIST
A Way With Words
By Jo Marchant

Interview: The language detective

Everyone's favourite linguist, Steven Pinker, is known for his theory that the mental machinery behind language is innate. In his latest book, The Stuff of Thought, he asks what language tells us about how we think. He says the words and grammar we use reflect inherited rules that govern our emotions and social relationships. Jo Marchant asked Pinker why he thinks that concepts of space, time and causality are hard-wired in our brain, and why he's turning his thoughts to violence.

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge250.html#newscientist

----------------------------------------------------
HIGHFIELD NAMED EDITOR OF NEW SCIENTIST

ROGER HIGHFIELD, award-winning Science Editor of The Daily Telegraph, where he worked for more than 20 years, has been named as the next Editor of New Scientist magazine, which is now the world's biggest selling weekly science and technology magazine.

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge250.html#highfield

----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------
This online EDGE edition is available at:
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge250.html
----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------
Edge Foundation, Inc. is a nonprofit private operating foundation under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code.
----------------------------------------------------
EDGE Newsbytes: http://www.edge.org/newsbytes.html
----------------------------------------------------
EDGE

John Brockman, Editor and Publisher
Russell Weinberger, Associate Publisher
Karla Taylor, Editorial Assistant

Copyright (c) 2008 by EDGE Foundation, Inc.
All Rights Reserved.

Published by EDGE Foundation, Inc.,
5 East 59th Street, New York, NY 10022
----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------


---
You are currently subscribed to edge_editions as: wheresrhys@googlemail.com

To unsubscribe send a blank email to leave-2978016-17333020.06691da9c6d471dcdf1278a10377548a@sand.lyris.net
Or, you can use the web form at the following URL:

http://www.edge.org/subscribe.html

Wednesday, July 9, 2008

Edge 249: Summer Reading Issue; Reality Club: "The End of Theory"

Edge 249 - July 8, 2008

http://www.edge.org

(10,600 words)

This online EDGE edition is available at:
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html

----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------
THE THIRD CULTURE

SUMMER READING
Recent and Forthcoming Titles from Edge Contributors

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#summer
----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------
THE REALITY CLUB

RESPONSES TO CHIS ANDERSON'S THE END OF THEORY

George Dyson, Kevin Kelly, Stewart Brand, W. Daniel Hillis, Sean Carroll, Jaron Lanier, Joseph Traub, John Horgan, Bruce Sterling, Douglas Rushkoff, Oliver Morton, Daniel Everett, Gloria Origgi, Lee Smolin, Joel Garreau
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#rc

----------------------------------------------------

GEORGE DYSON: Just as we may eventually take the brain apart, neuron by neuron, and never find the model, we may discover that true AI came into existence without anyone ever developing a coherent model of reality or an unambiguous theory of intelligence. Reality, with all its ambiguities, does the job just fine. It may be that our true destiny as a species is to build an intelligence that proves highly successful, whether we understand how it works or not. ... [MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#dysong

KEVIN KELLY: My guess is that this emerging method will be one additional tool in the evolution of the scientific method. It will not replace any current methods (sorry, no end of science!) but will compliment established theory-driven science. Let's call this data intensive approach to problem solving Correlative Analytics. I think Chris squanders a unique opportunity by titling his thesis "The End of Theory" because this is a negation, the absence of something. Rather it is the beginning of something, and this is when you have a chance to accelerate that birth by giving it a positive name. ... [MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#kelly

STEWART BRAND: Digital humanity apparently crossed from one watershed to another over the last few years. Now we are noticing. Noticing usually helps. We'll converge on one or two names for the new watershed and watch what induction tells us about how it works and what it's good for. . .. [MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#brand

W. DANIEL HILLIS: Chris Anderson says that "this approach to science—hypothesize, model, test—is becoming obsolete". No doubt the statement is intended to be provocative, but I do not see even a little bit of truth in it. I share his enthusiasm for the possibilities created by petabyte datasets and parallel computing, but I do not see why large amounts of data will undermine the scientific method.
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#hillis

SEAN CARROLL: ... Sometimes it will be hard, or impossible, to discover simple models explaining huge collections of messy data taken from noisy, nonlinear phenomenon. But it doesn't mean we shouldn't try. Hypotheses aren't simply useful tools in some potentially-outmoded vision of science; they are the whole point. Theory is understanding, and understanding our world is what science is all about. [MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#carroll

JARON LANIER: Anderson pretends it's useless to be a human. Machines should now do the thinking, and be the heroes of discovery. ...I say "pretends" because I don't believe he is being sincere. I think it's a ploy to get a certain kind of attention. Hearing anti-human rhetoric has the same sting as a movie plot about a serial killer. Some deep, moral part of each of us is so offended that we can't turn off our attention. ... [MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#lanier

JOSEPH TRAUB: I agree with Danny Hillis that large amounts of data will not undermine the scientific method. Indeed, scientific laws encode a huge amount of data. Think of Maxwell's equations or Kepler's laws for example. Why does Chris Anderson think that with still more data, laws (what he calls theory) will become less important?
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#traub

JOHN HORGAN: Chris Anderson seems to think computers will reduce science to pure induction, predicting the future based on the past. This method of course can't predict black swans, anomalous, truly novel events. Theory-laden human experts can't foresee black swans either, but for the foreseeable future, human experts will know how to handle black swans more adeptly when they appear. ... [MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#horgan

BRUCE STERLING: ... I do have to wonder why—after Google promptly demolished advertising—Chris Anderson wants Google to pick on scientific theory. Advertising is nothing like scientific theory. Advertising has always been complete witch-doctor hokum. After blowing down the house of straw, Google might want to work its way up to the bricks. ... [MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#sterling

DOUGLAS RUSHKOFF: When I read Anderson's extremely astute arguments about the direction of science, I find myself concerned that science could very well take the same course as politics or business. The techniques of mindless petabyte churn favor industry over consideration, consumption over creation, and—dare I say it—mindless fascism over thoughtful self-government. ... [MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#rushkoff

OLIVER MORTON: Chris Anderson's provocations spur much thought—I'll limit it to two specifics and two generalities. The first specific is that Anderson mischaracterises particle physics. The problem with particle physics is not data poverty—it is theoretical affluence. The Tevatron, and LEP before it, have produced amounts of data vast for their times—data is in rich supply. The problem is that the standard model explains it all. The drive beyond the standard model is not a reflection of data poverty, but of theory feeding on theory because the data are so well served. ... [MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#morton

DANIEL EVERETT: More intriguingly, do children acquire language based on a genetically limited set of hypotheses or do they treat language like the internet and function as statistical calculators, little "Googlers"? ... [MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#everett

GLORIA ORIGGI: Science may become a cheaper game from the point of view of the investment for discovering new facts: but, as a philosopher, I do not think that cheap intellectual games are less challenging or less worth playing. ... [MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#origgi

LEE SMOLIN:  To see what to think about Anderson's hypothesis that computers storing and processing vast amounts of data will replace the need to formulate hypotheses and theories, one can look at whether it has any relevance to how supercomputers are actually being used in contemporary physics. ... [MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#smolin

JOEL GARREAU:  Maybe things are different in physics and biology. But in my experience studying culture, values and society, data lags reality by definition—they are a snapshot of the past. And when human reality does not conveniently line up with established ways of thinking, the data can lag by years, if not decades. ... [MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#garreau

----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------
IN THE NEWS
----------------------------------------------------
SCIENTIFIC AMERICAN
The Mirror Neuron Revolution: Explaining What Makes Humans Social
By Jonah Lehrer

Neuroscientist Marco Iacoboni discusses mirror neurons, autism and the potentially damaging effects of violent movies.

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#iac

----------------------------------------------------
THE ATLANTIC MONTHLY
Is Google Making Us Stupid?
By Nicholas Carr

... As the media theorist Marshall McLuhan pointed out in the 1960s, media are not just passive channels of information. They supply the stuff of thought, but they also shape the process of thought. And what the Net seems to be doing is chipping away my capacity for concentration and contemplation. My mind now expects to take in information the way the Net distributes it: in a swiftly moving stream of particles. Once I was a scuba diver in the sea of words. Now I zip along the surface like a guy on a Jet Ski.

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#atl

----------------------------------------------------
BLOGGINGHEADS TV
Science Saturday: Summer Doldrums Edition
John Horgan & George Johnson

The end of science: Wired Magazine steps on John's turf (07:25)
AI's as-yet-unfulfilled promise (09:41)
The limits of medical science (07:54)
Political pundits: just a bunch of dart-throwing monkeys (13:01)
Who cares why quantum mechanics works? (05:59)
Incredible propaganda for psychedelic drugs (02:40)

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#btv

----------------------------------------------------
LOS ANGELES TIMES
Mysteries of Time, and the Multiverse
By John Johnson Jr.

In his studies of entropy and the irreversibility of time, Caltech physicist Sean Carroll is exploring the idea that our universe is part of a larger structure.

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#lat

----------------------------------------------------
SEED MAGAZINE
THE SEED SALON
The Transcript: Tom Wolfe + Michael Gazzaniga

The father of cognitive neuroscience and the original New Journalist discuss status, free will, the human condition, and The Interpreter.

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#seed

----------------------------------------------------
HARVARD BUSINESS REVIEW
Should You Invest in the Long Tail?
By Anita Elberse

It was a compelling idea: In the digitized world, there's more money to be made in niche offerings than in blockbusters. The data tell a different story.

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#hbr

----------------------------------------------------
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
PORTALS
Study Refutes Niche Theory Spawned by Web
By Lee Gomes

A book from 2006, "The Long Tail," was one of those that appear periodically and demand that we rethink everything we presume to know about how society works. In this case, the Web and its nearly unlimited choices were said to be remaking the economy and culture. Now, a new Harvard Business Review article pushes back, and says any change occurring may be of an entirely different sort.

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#wsj

----------------------------------------------------
NEWSWEEK
THE FUTURE OF ENERGY
A Bug to Save the Planet
By Fareed Zakaria

Genome pioneer Craig Venter wants to make a bacterium that will eat CO2 and produce fuel.

[MORE]
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html#nwbug

----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------
This online EDGE edition is available at:
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge249.html
----------------------------------------------------
Edge Foundation, Inc. is a nonprofit private operating foundation under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code.
----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------
EDGE

John Brockman, Editor and Publisher
Russell Weinberger, Associate Publisher
Karla Taylor, Editorial Assistant

Copyright (c) 2008 by EDGE Foundation, Inc.
All Rights Reserved.

Published by EDGE Foundation, Inc.,
5 East 59th Street, New York, NY 10022
----------------------------------------------------


---
You are currently subscribed to edge_editions as: wheresrhys@googlemail.com

To unsubscribe send a blank email to leave-2967231-17333020.06691da9c6d471dcdf1278a10377548a@sand.lyris.net
Or, you can use the web form at the following URL:

http://www.edge.org/subscribe.html

Tuesday, July 1, 2008

Edge 248: The End of Theory By Chris Anderson

Edge 247 - June 30, 2008

http://www.edge.org

(11,000 words)

This online EDGE edition is available at:
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge248.html

----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------
THE THIRD CULTURE

THE END OF THEORY
Will the Data Deluge Makes the Scientific Method Obsolete?
By Chris Anderson

Sixty years ago, digital computers made information readable. Twenty years ago, the Internet made it reachable. Ten years ago, the first search engine crawlers made it a single database. Now Google and like-minded companies are sifting through the most measured age in history, treating this massive corpus as a laboratory of the human condition. They are the children of the Petabyte Age.

The Petabyte Age is different because more is different. Kilobytes were stored on floppy disks. Megabytes were stored on hard disks. Terabytes were stored in disk arrays. Petabytes are stored in the cloud. As we moved along that progression, we went from the folder analogy to the file cabinet analogy to the library analogy to — well, at petabytes we ran out of organizational analogies.


[MORE]

----------------------------------------------------

THE REALITY CLUB

George Dyson, Kevin Kelly, Stewart Brand respond to "The End of Theory"

GEORGE DYSON: Just as we may eventually take the brain apart, neuron by neuron, and never find the model, we may discover that true AI came into existence without anyone ever developing a coherent model of reality or an unambiguous theory of intelligence. Reality, with all its ambiguities, does the job just fine. It may be that our true destiny as a species is to build an intelligence that proves highly successful, whether we understand how it works or not. ... [MORE]

KEVIN KELLY: My guess is that this emerging method will be one additional tool in the evolution of the scientific method. It will not replace any current methods (sorry, no end of science!) but will compliment established theory-driven science. Let's call this data intensive approach to problem solving Correlative Analytics. I think Chris squanders a unique opportunity by titling his thesis "The End of Theory" because this is a negation, the absence of something. Rather it is the beginning of something, and this is when you have a chance to accelerate that birth by giving it a positive name. ... [MORE]

STEWART BRAND: Digital humanity apparently crossed from one watershed to another over the last few years. Now we are noticing. Noticing usually helps. We'll converge on one or two names for the new watershed and watch what induction tells us about how it works and what it's good for.


[MORE]

----------------------------------------------------

IN THE NEWS

----------------------------------------------------

DER TAGESSPIEGEL
A NEW HUMANISM
("EIN NEUER HUMANISMUS")
By Kai Kupferschmidt

...as early as 1959 the physicist and writer Charles Percy Snow lamented that the humanities and natural sciences were adrift. Snow coined the phrase "two cultures". At the same time, he said saw a need for a "third culture" that would require a common culture of humanities and natural scientists.

The mid-nineties saw the American literary agent John Brockman present his idea of the third culture. It was different than the one imagined by Snow. Brockman noted that natural scientists such as the biologist Richard Dawkins or the physicist Roger Penrose had taken over the function which had previously been played by literary scholars by by writing books that explained science to the public. Brockman that this was the third culture.


[MORE]

----------------------------------------------------
THE NEW REPUBLIC
Hedonic Man
By Alan Wolfe

The collaboration of Kahneman and Tversky produced one of the major intellectual accomplishments of the late twentieth century: a series of ingeniously designed experiments that raised uncomfortable questions about "utility maximization," which was the major assumption of microeconomics.

[MORE]

----------------------------------------------------
WALL STREET JOURNAL
How The Rich Spend their Time: Stressed
By Robert Frank

According to research by Daniel Kahneman, the Nobel Prize-winning behavioral economist, quoted in an article in the Washington Post, "being wealthy is often a powerful predictor that people spend less time doing pleasurable things and more time doing compulsory things and feeling stressed."

[MORE]

----------------------------------------------------
THE NEW YORKER
The Itch
By Atul Gawande

The theory—and a theory is all it is right now—has begun to make sense of some bewildering phenomena. Among them is an experiment that Ramachandran performed with volunteers who had phantom pain in an amputated arm.

[MORE]

----------------------------------------------------
THE NEW YORKER
What Was I Thinking
By Elizabeth Kolbert

As an academic discipline, Ariely's field—behavioral economics—is roughly twenty-five years old. It emerged largely in response to work done in the nineteen-seventies by the Israeli-American psychologists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman. (Ariely, too, grew up in Israel.) When they examined how people deal with uncertainty, Tversky and Kahneman found that there were consistent biases to the responses, and that these biases could be traced to mental shortcuts, or what they called "heuristics."

[MORE]

----------------------------------------------------

WALL STREET JOURNAL

Free To Choose, But Often Wrong

By David A. Shaywitz


...When psychologists Daniel Kahneman and the late Amos Tversky conducted an experimental survey in the early 1980s asking people to answer this simple question, they discovered, to their surprise, that most respondents picked "b," even though this was the narrower choice and hence the less likely one. It seems that saliency – in this case, Linda's passionate political profile – trumps logic.

[MORE]

----------------------------------------------------
WASHIINGTON POST

How Rich People Spend Their Time

Nobel Prize-winning behavioral economist Daniel Kahneman has found, however, that being wealthy is often a powerful predictor that people spend less time doing pleasurable things, and more time doing compulsory things and feeling stressed. ...

[MORE]

----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------
This online EDGE edition is available at:
http://www.edge.org/documents/archive/edge248.html
----------------------------------------------------
Edge Foundation, Inc. is a nonprofit private operating foundation under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code.
----------------------------------------------------
----------------------------------------------------
EDGE

John Brockman, Editor and Publisher
Russell Weinberger, Associate Publisher
Karla Taylor, Editorial Assistant

Copyright (c) 2008 by EDGE Foundation, Inc.
All Rights Reserved.

Published by EDGE Foundation, Inc.,
5 East 59th Street, New York, NY 10022
----------------------------------------------------


---
You are currently subscribed to edge_editions as: wheresrhys@googlemail.com

To unsubscribe send a blank email to leave-2952721-17333020.06691da9c6d471dcdf1278a10377548a@sand.lyris.net
Or, you can use the web form at the following URL:

http://www.edge.org/subscribe.html